Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 7.529797 8.306199 9.135876 10.089733 11.157661 12.318231 13.677363
2025-11-23 6.323761 7.405488 8.641772 10.164790 11.998127 14.143244 16.856897
2025-11-30 5.576417 6.864891 8.423166 10.459708 13.070360 16.330449 20.750094
2025-12-07 4.875999 6.257459 8.009229 10.416330 13.673349 17.977815 24.181563
2025-12-14 4.269290 5.674860 7.530426 10.192386 13.967430 19.211453 27.192970
2025-12-21 3.846786 5.275240 7.229932 10.144973 14.459209 20.732958 30.778536
2025-12-28 3.595605 5.075807 7.170338 10.410114 15.403479 22.990954 35.753384
2026-01-04 3.366721 4.878697 7.084167 10.611326 16.254728 25.187624 40.925443
2026-01-11 3.129518 4.642279 6.909852 10.647408 16.834611 27.002948 45.704384
2026-01-18 2.892715 4.382146 6.670287 10.546463 17.166065 28.427910 49.985740
2026-01-25 2.675014 4.131114 6.419128 10.394478 17.383000 29.664243 54.079711
2026-02-01 2.487662 3.911694 6.197295 10.264624 17.614535 30.938030 58.410835
2026-02-08 2.316246 3.708167 5.990078 10.149624 17.878329 32.337897 63.291753
2026-02-15 2.172239 3.538930 5.826286 10.095243 18.248158 33.987509 68.970540
2026-02-22 2.088655 3.465145 5.819104 10.322341 19.175550 36.846023 77.734447
2026-03-01 1.965215 3.312175 5.659267 10.247577 19.501081 38.524128 84.155151
2026-03-08 1.829863 3.127794 5.427768 10.012335 19.474025 39.454759 88.990816
2026-03-15 1.732436 3.004092 5.296533 9.958322 19.811121 41.206237 96.111510
2026-03-22 1.683850 2.965741 5.320252 10.214114 20.831809 44.610844 108.030868
2026-03-29 1.630704 2.914689 5.315105 10.409113 21.740955 47.884033 120.263635
2026-04-05 1.562252 2.829616 5.237121 10.443462 22.292612 50.384558 130.897269
2026-04-12 1.483920 2.720136 5.102696 10.344230 22.524860 52.134965 139.760090
2026-04-19 1.406121 2.606587 4.951850 10.195304 22.623001 53.561271 147.966028